Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.7%). Look for Moore on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.4% vs Spezza 54.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Moore leads 29-27 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 79.0%
Defensive zone
Moore 78.4%
Neutral zone
Moore 51.0%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Moore
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
27
(56 meetings)
29
27
Moore
Spezza
Last 10: Moore 7-3 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
5
15
Moore
Spezza
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
19
6
Moore
Spezza
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
5
6
Moore
Spezza
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (4,121)
54.4% (7,990)
+1.4%
Power Play
55.9% (136)
56.8% (1,726)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (982)
52.7% (643)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Moore is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,888).
Moore shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Moore
Spezza
Home
55.3% (2,409)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
53.8% (2,843)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Moore
Spezza
P1
53.7%
55.7%
P2
54.2%
54.4%
P3
55.3%
54.1%
OT
69.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
54.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 09:35 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 13:38 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |