Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Moore wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.7% vs Duchene 57.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 90.4%
Defensive zone
Moore 83.9%
Neutral zone
Moore 58.4%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Moore
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Moore
Duchene
Last 5: Moore 3-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Moore
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
3
0
Moore
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Moore
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (618)
56.5% (527)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
61.6% (185)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (233)
59.3% (27)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Moore is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Moore shoots left. Duchene is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Moore
Duchene
Home
57.1% (394)
57.6% (403)
Away
53.7% (467)
58.3% (336)
By Period
Moore
Duchene
P1
53.5%
61.4%
P2
57.6%
58.5%
P3
54.7%
54.9%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
62.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
55.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |