Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.2%). Look for Moore on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Moore wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.4% vs Duchene 54.1% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 84.0%
Defensive zone
Moore 76.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.9%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Moore
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Moore
Duchene
Last 10: Moore 5-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Moore
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
5
1
Moore
Duchene
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Moore
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (4,121)
53.9% (10,396)
+1.9%
Power Play
55.9% (136)
56.9% (1,665)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (982)
49.1% (468)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Moore is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,364).
Moore shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Moore
Duchene
Home
55.3% (2,409)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
53.8% (2,843)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Moore
Duchene
P1
53.7%
54.5%
P2
54.2%
54.5%
P3
55.3%
53.4%
OT
69.4%
56.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |