Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 52.9% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moore 66.0%
Defensive zone
Moore 66.1%
Neutral zone
Moore 64.2%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Moore
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Moore
Gaustad
Last 6: Moore 0-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Moore
Gaustad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
5
Moore
Gaustad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (676)
58.6% (790)
-3.6%
Power Play
49.1% (53)
66.7% (93)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (155)
61.0% (269)
-13.9%
On power play, Gaustad has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Moore is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Moore shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Moore
Gaustad
Home
54.3% (420)
60.6% (554)
Away
52.3% (472)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Moore
Gaustad
P1
56.1%
61.3%
P2
48.9%
55.5%
P3
53.8%
62.3%
OT
64.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
53.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 15:33 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 02:45 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |