Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Moore wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.4% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 14-14 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Moore 62.7%
Defensive zone
Moore 55.6%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 53.4%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Moore
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
14
(28 meetings)
14
14
Moore
Gaustad
Last 10: Moore 6-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Moore
Gaustad
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
6
1
Moore
Gaustad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
8
Moore
Gaustad
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (4,121)
58.2% (4,334)
-2.4%
Power Play
55.9% (136)
65.4% (188)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (982)
54.8% (1,290)
-6.1%
On power play, Gaustad has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Moore is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,364).
Moore shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Moore
Gaustad
Home
55.3% (2,409)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
53.8% (2,843)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Moore
Gaustad
P1
53.7%
58.2%
P2
54.2%
56.4%
P3
55.3%
58.3%
OT
69.4%
66.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 09:25 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |