Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Moore wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.1% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 86.3%
Defensive zone
Moore 67.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 62.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Moore
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Moore
O'Reilly
Last 9: Moore 2-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Moore
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
1
0
Moore
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Moore
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (813)
52.7% (900)
+2.4%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
55.6% (225)
+30.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (254)
54.5% (209)
-2.9%
On power play, Moore has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Moore is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Moore shoots left. O'Reilly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
Moore
O'Reilly
Home
55.5% (503)
55.1% (693)
Away
53.6% (571)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Moore
O'Reilly
P1
51.3%
51.5%
P2
53.9%
54.7%
P3
57.7%
52.7%
OT
63.6%
69.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 14:20 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |