Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings). Moore wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.4% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 68.6%
Defensive zone
Moore 79.3%
Neutral zone
Moore 58.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Moore
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
17
(29 meetings)
12
17
Moore
O'Reilly
Last 10: Moore 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
6
10
Moore
O'Reilly
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
3
2
Moore
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
5
Moore
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (4,121)
56.2% (15,260)
-0.4%
Power Play
55.9% (136)
58.8% (3,445)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (982)
51.4% (2,811)
-2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Moore is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,364).
Moore shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Moore
O'Reilly
Home
55.3% (2,409)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
53.8% (2,843)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Moore
O'Reilly
P1
53.7%
55.6%
P2
54.2%
57.0%
P3
55.3%
55.1%
OT
69.4%
62.2%
Final 5 min
54.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 2 | 14:51 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 14:20 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |