Dominic Toninato vs Gemel Smith
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Gemel Smith holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toninato on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Toninato wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 45.4% vs Smith 47.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 60.9%
Defensive zone
Toninato 55.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 53.5%
Result
Gemel Smith favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Toninato
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Toninato
Smith
Last 9: Toninato 5-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Toninato
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
4
1
Toninato
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (778)
48.6% (212)
-2.7%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
50.0% (4)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
9.1% (11)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Toninato has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Toninato is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Toninato shoots left. Smith is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Toninato
Smith
Home
47.0% (413)
43.0% (114)
Away
42.9% (431)
50.4% (113)
By Period
Toninato
Smith
P1
40.8%
45.6%
P2
46.3%
49.4%
P3
47.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.9%
Smith
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Gemel Smith |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Gemel Smith |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Gemel Smith |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Gemel Smith |