Scouting Report
Gemel Smith holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 44.9% vs Smith 50.9% (-17.6%)
Offensive zone
Smith 51.0%
Defensive zone
Toninato 70.0%
Neutral zone
Toninato 50.0%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Toninato
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (184)
66.7% (9)
-23.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On power play, Toninato has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Toninato is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Toninato shoots left. Smith is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Toninato
Smith
Home
45.6% (114)
25.0% (4)
Away
38.5% (91)
83.3% (6)
By Period
Toninato
Smith
P1
37.3%
50.0%
P2
41.7%
75.0%
P3
48.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
42.4%
Smith
46.0%▬
47.0%
60.0%