Dominic Toninato vs Joel Eriksson Ek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toninato wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 45.4% vs Ek 47.7% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toninato 60.7%
Defensive zone
Toninato 67.3%
Neutral zone
Toninato 65.9%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Toninato
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Toninato
Ek
Last 5: Toninato 1-4 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Toninato
Ek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
1
3
Toninato
Ek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (778)
47.3% (6,674)
-1.4%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
55.2% (1,494)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
40.2% (1,168)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Toninato is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Toninato shoots left. Ek is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,096).
Home / Away
Toninato
Ek
Home
47.0% (413)
48.6% (4,644)
Away
42.9% (431)
46.9% (4,692)
By Period
Toninato
Ek
P1
40.8%
46.6%
P2
46.3%
49.4%
P3
47.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
41.5%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.9%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |