Dominic Toninato vs John Tavares
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toninato wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 45.4% vs Tavares 54.4% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Toninato 77.0%
Defensive zone
Toninato 92.0%
Neutral zone
Toninato 81.7%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Toninato
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Toninato
Tavares
Last 10: Toninato 2-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Toninato
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Toninato
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Toninato
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (778)
54.0% (16,108)
-8.1%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
56.5% (4,283)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
50.6% (620)
-23.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Toninato is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Toninato shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Toninato
Tavares
Home
47.0% (413)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
42.9% (431)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Toninato
Tavares
P1
40.8%
55.0%
P2
46.3%
54.1%
P3
47.5%
54.1%
Final 5 min
41.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 03:18 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | John Tavares |