Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 65.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 51.1% vs Tavares 57.2% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 65.8%
Defensive zone
Toninato 59.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Toninato
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (31)
58.0% (914)
-3.2%
On even strength, Tavares has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Toninato is 65.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Toninato shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Toninato
Tavares
Home
71.4% (21)
57.8% (614)
Away
20.0% (10)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Toninato
Tavares
P1
50.0%
58.0%
P2
71.4%
56.9%
P3
33.3%
58.4%
Final 5 min
44.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%