Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 47.8% vs Tavares 54.9% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toninato 73.2%
Defensive zone
Toninato 87.9%
Neutral zone
Toninato 74.7%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Toninato
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Toninato
Tavares
Last 6: Toninato 0-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Toninato
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Toninato
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Toninato
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (251)
54.8% (861)
-7.4%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
57.5% (226)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
51.7% (29)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Toninato is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (191).
Toninato shoots left. Tavares is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Toninato
Tavares
Home
45.1% (122)
58.1% (559)
Away
48.7% (150)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Toninato
Tavares
P1
40.5%
57.6%
P2
50.0%
55.5%
P3
50.0%
52.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 03:18 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | John Tavares |