Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.4% vs 42.1%). Toninato wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Martin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 44.9% vs Martin 48.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Martin 53.6%
Defensive zone
Toninato 57.2%
Neutral zone
Martin 56.3%
Result
Matt Martin favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Toninato
Martin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Toninato
Martin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
1
0
Toninato
Martin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Martin
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (184)
42.1% (19)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Martin shoots left. Toninato is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Toninato shoots left. Martin is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Toninato
Martin
Home
45.6% (114)
33.3% (6)
Away
38.5% (91)
46.2% (13)
By Period
Toninato
Martin
P1
37.3%
50.0%
P2
41.7%
33.3%
P3
48.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
42.4%
Martin
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |