Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toninato wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 45.4% vs Domi 48.8% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Toninato 58.3%
Defensive zone
Toninato 77.1%
Neutral zone
Toninato 67.8%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Toninato
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Toninato
Domi
Last 10: Toninato 3-7 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
4
Toninato
Domi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Toninato
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
2
1
Toninato
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (778)
48.1% (4,296)
-2.2%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
53.4% (633)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
48.8% (41)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Toninato is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Toninato shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Home / Away
Toninato
Domi
Home
47.0% (413)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
42.9% (431)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
Toninato
Domi
P1
40.8%
48.7%
P2
46.3%
48.3%
P3
47.5%
49.8%
Final 5 min
41.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.9%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |