Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toninato wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 45.1% vs Domi 48.8% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Toninato 55.0%
Defensive zone
Toninato 72.0%
Neutral zone
Toninato 64.2%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Toninato
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Toninato
Domi
Last 10: Toninato 3-7 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
4
Toninato
Domi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Toninato
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
2
1
Toninato
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (769)
48.2% (4,232)
-2.7%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
52.7% (622)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
48.8% (41)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Toninato is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Toninato shoots left. Domi is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,287).
Home / Away
Toninato
Domi
Home
46.3% (404)
49.7% (2,572)
Away
42.9% (431)
47.7% (2,323)
By Period
Toninato
Domi
P1
40.7%
48.8%
P2
45.4%
48.0%
P3
47.3%
49.8%
Final 5 min
41.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
42.0%▼
46.5%
44.6%
Domi
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |