Dominic Toninato vs Morgan Geekie
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toninato on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Toninato wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 45.4% vs Geekie 48.5% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 80.2%
Defensive zone
Geekie 59.9%
Neutral zone
Geekie 64.6%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Toninato
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toninato
Geekie
Last 6: Toninato 5-1 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
5
1
Toninato
Geekie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (778)
48.8% (2,307)
-2.9%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
45.7% (188)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
45.7% (129)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Toninato is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Toninato shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,923).
Home / Away
Toninato
Geekie
Home
47.0% (413)
50.0% (1,281)
Away
42.9% (431)
46.8% (1,343)
By Period
Toninato
Geekie
P1
40.8%
48.6%
P2
46.3%
48.8%
P3
47.5%
47.7%
Final 5 min
41.5%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.9%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| May 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:02 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:54 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 06:55 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |