Dominic Toninato vs Morgan Geekie
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toninato on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Toninato wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 44.9% vs Geekie 52.1% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 89.1%
Defensive zone
Geekie 59.9%
Neutral zone
Geekie 75.1%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Toninato
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Toninato
Geekie
Last 5: Toninato 4-1 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
4
1
Toninato
Geekie
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (184)
53.2% (615)
-9.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
44.4% (36)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
44.4% (18)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Toninato is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Toninato shoots left. Geekie is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Toninato
Geekie
Home
45.6% (114)
55.0% (331)
Away
38.5% (91)
50.0% (338)
By Period
Toninato
Geekie
P1
37.3%
53.9%
P2
41.7%
56.0%
P3
48.6%
46.5%
Final 5 min
41.7%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
42.4%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:02 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:54 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 06:55 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |