Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 44.9% vs Strome 45.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 61.5%
Defensive zone
Toninato 62.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 55.1%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Toninato
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Toninato
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Toninato
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (184)
44.1% (749)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
46.2% (52)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
52.9% (17)
-23.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Toninato is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Toninato shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Toninato
Strome
Home
45.6% (114)
45.1% (441)
Away
38.5% (91)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Toninato
Strome
P1
37.3%
42.9%
P2
41.7%
44.4%
P3
48.6%
45.8%
Final 5 min
41.7%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
42.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |