Dominic Toninato vs Sebastian Aho
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dominic Toninato holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 65.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 51.1% vs Aho 50.0% (+4.8%)
Offensive zone
Aho 63.4%
Defensive zone
Toninato 56.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 52.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Toninato
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (31)
49.9% (851)
+4.9%
On even strength, Toninato has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Toninato is 65.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Toninato shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Toninato
Aho
Home
71.4% (21)
53.2% (554)
Away
20.0% (10)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Toninato
Aho
P1
50.0%
49.1%
P2
71.4%
50.8%
P3
33.3%
49.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%