Dominic Toninato vs Sebastian Aho
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 49.2% vs Aho 50.4% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Aho 58.5%
Defensive zone
Toninato 50.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 57.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Toninato
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (22)
50.5% (647)
-5.0%
On even strength, Aho has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Toninato is 64.3% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Toninato shoots left. Aho is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Toninato
Aho
Home
66.7% (12)
53.9% (445)
Away
20.0% (10)
46.4% (375)
By Period
Toninato
Aho
P1
50.0%
48.7%
P2
62.5%
51.4%
P3
25.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
33.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
42.0%▼
46.5%
45.5%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%