Scouting Report
Drake Caggiula holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Caggiula wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cole shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 40.0% vs Cole 40.4% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Cole 54.7%
Defensive zone
Caggiula 51.8%
Neutral zone
Cole 51.8%
Result
Erik Cole favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Caggiula
Cole
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Cole
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (390)
35.0% (120)
+2.9%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
40.5% (79)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
21.4% (14)
-3.2%
On penalty kill, Cole has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cole shoots left. Caggiula is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Caggiula shoots left. Cole is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Cole
Home
41.9% (217)
37.4% (115)
Away
32.7% (196)
34.3% (99)
By Period
Caggiula
Cole
P1
37.7%
40.8%
P2
37.7%
35.6%
P3
37.3%
29.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
32.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Cole
40.0%▲
37.0%
36.0%