Scouting Report
Drake Caggiula holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Caggiula wins 38.2% vs right-shot opponents — Armia shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 40.0% vs Armia 36.8% (+6.8%)
Offensive zone
Armia 52.1%
Defensive zone
Caggiula 50.4%
Neutral zone
Armia 51.0%
Result
Joel Armia favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Caggiula
Armia
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Armia
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (390)
31.6% (174)
+6.3%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
25.0% (8)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
27.8% (36)
-9.6%
On power play, Caggiula has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Armia shoots right. Caggiula is 38.2% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Caggiula shoots left. Armia is 32.9% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Armia
Home
41.9% (217)
32.6% (95)
Away
32.7% (196)
29.3% (123)
By Period
Caggiula
Armia
P1
37.7%
33.3%
P2
37.7%
30.5%
P3
37.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
40.4%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Armia
40.0%▲
30.0%
30.7%