Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Caggiula wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 43.5% vs Turris 52.8% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Caggiula 72.5%
Defensive zone
Caggiula 70.9%
Neutral zone
Caggiula 72.1%
Result
Drake Caggiula favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Caggiula
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Caggiula
Turris
Last 7: Caggiula 2-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
2
Caggiula
Turris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
2
Caggiula
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Caggiula
Turris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (276)
52.7% (942)
-12.1%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
54.9% (226)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
52.6% (57)
-2.6%
On even strength, Turris has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Caggiula is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Caggiula shoots left. Turris is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Turris
Home
46.9% (145)
56.3% (627)
Away
35.3% (139)
49.7% (598)
By Period
Caggiula
Turris
P1
41.1%
50.4%
P2
40.2%
53.9%
P3
43.0%
54.9%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
44.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
41.2%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 16:11 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Drake Caggiula |