Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Caggiula wins 38.2% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 40.0% vs Turris 50.3% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Caggiula 75.0%
Defensive zone
Caggiula 70.1%
Neutral zone
Caggiula 74.7%
Result
Drake Caggiula favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Caggiula
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Caggiula
Turris
Last 7: Caggiula 2-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
2
Caggiula
Turris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
2
Caggiula
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Caggiula
Turris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (390)
50.2% (7,653)
-12.3%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
52.4% (1,312)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
48.6% (580)
-30.4%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Caggiula is 38.2% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Caggiula shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Turris
Home
41.9% (217)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
32.7% (196)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Caggiula
Turris
P1
37.7%
51.5%
P2
37.7%
50.8%
P3
37.3%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
56.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 16:11 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Drake Caggiula |