Scouting Report
Matt Martin holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Caggiula wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Martin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 40.0% vs Martin 42.6% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Caggiula 51.2%
Defensive zone
Martin 55.5%
Neutral zone
Caggiula 51.3%
Result
Matt Martin favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Caggiula
Martin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Martin
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (390)
41.3% (208)
-3.4%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
42.9% (7)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
12.5% (16)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Caggiula has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Martin shoots left. Caggiula is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Caggiula shoots left. Martin is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Martin
Home
41.9% (217)
38.9% (108)
Away
32.7% (196)
39.8% (123)
By Period
Caggiula
Martin
P1
37.7%
36.8%
P2
37.7%
39.8%
P3
37.3%
43.1%
Final 5 min
40.4%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Martin
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.4%