Scouting Report
Matt Read holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Caggiula wins 38.2% vs right-shot opponents — Read shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 40.0% vs Read 42.2% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Read 51.6%
Defensive zone
Read 53.9%
Neutral zone
Read 51.7%
Result
Matt Read favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Caggiula
Read
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Read
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (390)
42.0% (395)
-4.1%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
41.5% (41)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
33.3% (87)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Read has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Read shoots right. Caggiula is 38.2% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Caggiula shoots left. Read is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Read
Home
41.9% (217)
42.8% (250)
Away
32.7% (196)
38.8% (276)
By Period
Caggiula
Read
P1
37.7%
42.5%
P2
37.7%
41.5%
P3
37.3%
38.1%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
40.4%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Read
44.0%▲
39.5%
40.7%