Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Caggiula on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Caggiula wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 40.0% vs Bennett 47.2% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 56.5%
Defensive zone
Bennett 54.8%
Neutral zone
Bennett 56.5%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Caggiula
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Caggiula
Bennett
Last 10: Caggiula 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Caggiula
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Caggiula
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Caggiula
3
1
Caggiula
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (390)
46.8% (5,683)
-8.9%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
53.7% (555)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
41.8% (256)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Caggiula is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Caggiula shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Bennett
Home
41.9% (217)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
32.7% (196)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Caggiula
Bennett
P1
37.7%
48.0%
P2
37.7%
46.5%
P3
37.3%
46.9%
OT
0.0%
52.5%
Final 5 min
40.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 14:08 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 14, 2017 | OT | 01:28 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |