Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Connor on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Connor wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Connor 45.5% vs Compher 47.8% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 64.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 91.9%
Neutral zone
Compher 75.0%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 75.2%
24.8%
75.2%
O'Connor
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
O'Connor
Compher
Last 8: O'Connor 6-2 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Connor
3
0
O'Connor
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Connor
Compher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Connor
2
1
O'Connor
Compher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Connor
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (293)
48.7% (5,716)
-6.0%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
52.6% (682)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
41.9% (1,421)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, O'Connor has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. O'Connor is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (131).
O'Connor shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,626).
Home / Away
O'Connor
Compher
Home
44.9% (196)
49.1% (3,894)
Away
43.3% (157)
46.6% (3,925)
By Period
O'Connor
Compher
P1
42.2%
49.1%
P2
44.4%
47.3%
P3
46.1%
47.4%
Final 5 min
53.0%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Connor
40.0%▼
46.5%
44.2%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Drew O'Connor |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 11:38 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 18:23 | Neutral | Drew O'Connor |