Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 61.7% vs right-shot opponents — Shore shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 56.2% vs Shore 48.3% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 57.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 92.9%
Neutral zone
Kelly 72.7%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Kelly
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kelly
Shore
Last 5: Kelly 4-1 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Shore
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Shore
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (298)
47.4% (386)
+11.3%
Power Play
100.0% (8)
52.6% (38)
+47.4%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (67)
47.4% (19)
+1.9%
On power play, Kelly has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Kelly is 61.7% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Kelly shoots left. Shore is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Kelly
Shore
Home
60.0% (200)
48.7% (232)
Away
55.5% (173)
46.9% (211)
By Period
Kelly
Shore
P1
55.9%
49.3%
P2
58.4%
48.1%
P3
60.9%
46.3%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Shore
42.0%▼
48.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Drew Shore |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |