Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kelly wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Shore shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 49.0% vs Shore 44.2% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 65.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 87.1%
Neutral zone
Kelly 70.7%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Kelly
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kelly
Shore
Last 6: Kelly 5-1 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Shore
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
1
Kelly
Shore
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (456)
40.8% (169)
+9.2%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
66.7% (12)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (118)
33.3% (27)
+11.6%
On power play, Shore has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Kelly is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Kelly shoots left. Shore is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Kelly
Shore
Home
51.4% (350)
44.2% (104)
Away
45.0% (229)
38.5% (104)
By Period
Kelly
Shore
P1
46.9%
42.9%
P2
53.6%
39.0%
P3
46.8%
42.6%
Final 5 min
47.8%
35.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.9%
Shore
42.0%▼
48.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Drew Shore |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |