Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shore wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 46.6% vs Beagle 56.7% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 69.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 95.0%
Neutral zone
Beagle 68.9%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Shore
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Shore
Beagle
Last 9: Shore 5-4 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shore
2
0
Shore
Beagle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Shore
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Shore
Beagle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (698)
57.5% (4,994)
-11.8%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
60.5% (119)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
54.2% (1,554)
-10.6%
On even strength, Beagle has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Shore is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (263).
Shore shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Home / Away
Shore
Beagle
Home
47.1% (376)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
45.3% (430)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Shore
Beagle
P1
46.1%
57.4%
P2
47.0%
57.1%
P3
45.2%
56.2%
OT
50.0%
41.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Drew Shore |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Drew Shore |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Drew Shore |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Drew Shore |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 04:08 | Neutral | Drew Shore |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |