Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Shore on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shore wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 46.6% vs Nash 48.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 52.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 76.6%
Neutral zone
Nash 61.0%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Shore
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Shore
Nash
Last 8: Shore 5-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shore
2
1
Shore
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shore
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
2
1
Shore
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (698)
48.7% (4,621)
-3.0%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
51.0% (249)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
44.9% (550)
-1.3%
On power play, Shore has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Shore is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (263).
Shore shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Shore
Nash
Home
47.1% (376)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
45.3% (430)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Shore
Nash
P1
46.1%
49.0%
P2
47.0%
47.9%
P3
45.2%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
42.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Drew Shore |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Drew Shore |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 14:31 | Neutral | Drew Shore |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Drew Shore |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 09:31 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Drew Shore |