Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Shore on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shore wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 46.6% vs Johansen 53.3% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 77.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 79.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 70.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Shore
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Shore
Johansen
Last 6: Shore 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shore
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
2
1
Shore
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
1
0
Shore
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (698)
53.1% (11,017)
-7.4%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
56.2% (2,163)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
50.5% (978)
-6.9%
On even strength, Johansen has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Shore is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (263).
Shore shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Shore
Johansen
Home
47.1% (376)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
45.3% (430)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Shore
Johansen
P1
46.1%
53.2%
P2
47.0%
53.9%
P3
45.2%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
42.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Drew Shore |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Drew Shore |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Drew Shore |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Drew Shore |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |