Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 54.4%). Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stafford wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 52.5% vs Staal 54.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stafford 58.9%
Defensive zone
Stafford 57.5%
Neutral zone
Stafford 59.9%
Result
Drew Stafford favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Stafford
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Stafford
Staal
Last 7: Stafford 1-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Stafford
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Stafford
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Stafford
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (155)
55.3% (1,171)
+1.5%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
56.6% (173)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (21)
42.9% (133)
-4.8%
On power play, Staal has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stafford is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Stafford shoots right. Staal is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Stafford
Staal
Home
58.4% (89)
54.7% (720)
Away
50.0% (108)
54.0% (757)
By Period
Stafford
Staal
P1
65.5%
51.2%
P2
47.9%
57.4%
P3
49.3%
54.6%
OT
100.0%
52.2%
Final 5 min
54.7%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |