Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 48.5% vs Staal 55.3% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stafford 92.2%
Defensive zone
Stafford 75.9%
Neutral zone
Stafford 83.8%
Result
Drew Stafford favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Stafford
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Stafford
Staal
Last 10: Stafford 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Stafford
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Stafford
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stafford
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (571)
55.9% (14,620)
-5.8%
Power Play
49.2% (189)
62.7% (1,745)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
34.2% (79)
48.0% (2,896)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stafford is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Stafford shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Stafford
Staal
Home
50.4% (452)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
45.9% (388)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Stafford
Staal
P1
50.0%
55.2%
P2
47.5%
55.9%
P3
47.9%
54.9%
OT
42.9%
56.2%
Final 5 min
46.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Drew Stafford |