Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Stafford wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 48.5% vs Turris 50.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stafford 68.9%
Defensive zone
Stafford 60.2%
Neutral zone
Stafford 62.4%
Result
Drew Stafford favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Stafford
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Stafford
Turris
Last 10: Stafford 3-7 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
2
0
Stafford
Turris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
7
Stafford
Turris
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stafford
2
1
Stafford
Turris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (571)
50.2% (7,653)
-0.1%
Power Play
49.2% (189)
52.4% (1,312)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
34.2% (79)
48.6% (580)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Stafford is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Stafford shoots right. Turris is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Stafford
Turris
Home
50.4% (452)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
45.9% (388)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Stafford
Turris
P1
50.0%
51.5%
P2
47.5%
50.8%
P3
47.9%
48.4%
OT
42.9%
56.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.3%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Drew Stafford |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Drew Stafford |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |