Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.9%). Look for Stafford on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stafford wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 48.5% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stafford 68.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 68.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Stafford
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Stafford
Bjugstad
Last 8: Stafford 4-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
2
1
Stafford
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stafford
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Stafford
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (571)
48.6% (6,634)
+1.5%
Power Play
49.2% (189)
55.2% (829)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
34.2% (79)
44.3% (614)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Stafford is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Stafford shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Home / Away
Stafford
Bjugstad
Home
50.4% (452)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
45.9% (388)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Stafford
Bjugstad
P1
50.0%
49.0%
P2
47.5%
49.1%
P3
47.9%
48.4%
OT
42.9%
61.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 17:07 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |