Scouting Report
Dustin Jeffrey holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 48.9% vs Eller 47.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 50.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 52.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Jeffrey
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jeffrey
Eller
Last 6: Jeffrey 3-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
1
0
Jeffrey
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
1
0
Jeffrey
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Jeffrey
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (197)
45.7% (588)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
61.1% (18)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (17)
50.8% (63)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Jeffrey has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Jeffrey is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Jeffrey shoots left. Eller is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Eller
Home
49.4% (89)
48.3% (329)
Away
47.8% (136)
44.9% (356)
By Period
Jeffrey
Eller
P1
47.8%
50.0%
P2
48.7%
41.3%
P3
48.7%
47.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
48.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |