Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 47.8% vs Eller 50.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Jeffrey 63.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 65.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Jeffrey
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Jeffrey
Eller
Last 10: Jeffrey 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
2
1
Jeffrey
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
3
0
Jeffrey
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
5
Jeffrey
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (754)
51.1% (10,296)
-3.6%
Power Play
37.2% (43)
52.8% (621)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
46.7% (1,751)
+8.9%
On power play, Eller has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Jeffrey is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (552).
Jeffrey shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Eller
Home
49.0% (390)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
46.4% (455)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Jeffrey
Eller
P1
46.4%
51.2%
P2
48.1%
50.1%
P3
48.0%
50.2%
OT
57.1%
56.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
47.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 17:02 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |