Scouting Report
Dustin Penner holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Penner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hayes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 43.3% vs Hayes 40.2% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 52.0%
Defensive zone
Penner 51.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.9%
Result
Jimmy Hayes favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Penner
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (214)
36.1% (202)
+4.6%
Power Play
45.5% (112)
34.3% (35)
+11.2%
On power play, Penner has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots right. Penner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Penner shoots left. Hayes is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
Penner
Hayes
Home
44.4% (207)
34.7% (124)
Away
38.3% (183)
37.7% (114)
By Period
Penner
Hayes
P1
36.1%
38.6%
P2
36.6%
26.5%
P3
53.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
30.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
41.5%
Hayes
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.1%