Who wins more faceoffs, Dustin Penner or Mikael Backlund?

Mikael Backlund leads the head-to-head 5-4 across 9 faceoffs.

What is Dustin Penner's faceoff record against Mikael Backlund?

Dustin Penner is 4-5 against Mikael Backlund in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 4-1, Defensive 0-3, Neutral 0-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Dustin Penner or Mikael Backlund?

Dustin Penner is the predicted winner with a 56.2% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Dustin Penner vs Mikael Backlund

Dustin PennerL vs Mikael BacklundL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Mikael Backlund holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Penner on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Penner wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Penner 43.3% vs Backlund 49.1% (-7.6%)

H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Penner 71.8%

Defensive zone Backlund 69.4%

Neutral zone Penner 55.2%

Result Dustin Penner favored at 56.2%

56.2%

43.8%

Penner Backlund

Head-to-Head Record

4 - 5 (9 meetings)

Penner Backlund

Last 9: Penner 4-5 Backlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Penner

Penner Backlund

5 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Backlund

Penner Backlund

3 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Backlund

Penner Backlund

1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Penner

Backlund

Edge

Even Strength

40.7% (214)

49.7% (13,231)

-9.0%

Power Play

45.5% (112)

51.5% (1,323)

-6.0%

Penalty Kill

36.7% (60)

43.9% (2,385)

-7.2%

On even strength, Backlund has a +9.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Backlund shoots left. Penner is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (258).

Penner shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,786).

Home / Away

Penner

Backlund

Home

44.4% (207)

49.8% (8,434)

Away

38.3% (183)

48.3% (8,510)

By Period

Penner

Backlund

36.1%

48.6%

36.6%

50.3%

53.6%

48.4%

25.0%

44.3%

Final 5 min

46.2%

48.6%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Penner

34.0%▼

42.0%

41.5%

Backlund

44.0%▬

44.0%

49.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Oct 16, 2013	3	15:06	Offensive	Dustin Penner
Oct 16, 2013	2	17:44	Defensive	Mikael Backlund
Oct 16, 2013	1	10:38	Offensive	Dustin Penner
Oct 16, 2013	1	09:22	Defensive	Mikael Backlund
Oct 16, 2013	1	05:51	Offensive	Dustin Penner
Oct 16, 2013	1	05:44	Offensive	Dustin Penner
Oct 16, 2010	3	07:49	Neutral	Mikael Backlund
Oct 16, 2010	2	18:47	Offensive	Mikael Backlund
Oct 7, 2010	1	07:15	Defensive	Mikael Backlund

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