Dustin Penner vs Mikael Backlund

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mikael Backlund holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Penner on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Penner wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Penner 43.3% vs Backlund 49.0% (-7.5%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Penner 72.9%
Defensive zone Backlund 68.2%
Neutral zone Penner 56.5%
Result Dustin Penner favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Penner Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 5 (9 meetings)
4
5
Penner Backlund
Last 9: Penner 4-5 Backlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Penner
4
1
Penner Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Penner Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Penner Backlund
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Penner
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (214)
49.7% (13,410)
-9.0%
Power Play
45.5% (112)
51.6% (1,336)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (60)
44.0% (2,446)
-7.3%
On even strength, Backlund has a +9.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Penner is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Penner shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Penner
Backlund
Home
44.4% (207)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
38.3% (183)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Penner
Backlund
P1
36.1%
48.5%
P2
36.6%
50.3%
P3
53.6%
48.4%
OT
25.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%
42.0%
41.5%
Backlund
52.0%
48.0%
49.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 16, 2013 3 15:06 Offensive Dustin Penner
Oct 16, 2013 2 17:44 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Oct 16, 2013 1 10:38 Offensive Dustin Penner
Oct 16, 2013 1 09:22 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Oct 16, 2013 1 05:51 Offensive Dustin Penner
Oct 16, 2013 1 05:44 Offensive Dustin Penner
Oct 16, 2010 3 07:49 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Oct 16, 2010 2 18:47 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Oct 7, 2010 1 07:15 Defensive Mikael Backlund