Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Penner wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 44.6% vs Koivu 52.6% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Penner 78.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 51.4%
Neutral zone
Penner 62.8%
Result
Dustin Penner favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Penner
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Penner
Koivu
Last 10: Penner 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Penner
4
3
Penner
Koivu
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
5
Penner
Koivu
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Penner
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (151)
52.7% (873)
-11.6%
Power Play
50.0% (92)
63.1% (168)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (59)
47.9% (267)
-12.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Penner is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (197).
Penner shoots left. Koivu is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (960).
Home / Away
Penner
Koivu
Home
47.5% (158)
56.7% (601)
Away
37.8% (148)
49.6% (738)
By Period
Penner
Koivu
P1
38.1%
51.2%
P2
36.2%
55.2%
P3
54.7%
51.3%
OT
27.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
42.8%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 02:28 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Dustin Penner |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 2 | 16:33 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |