Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Penner wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 43.3% vs Koivu 51.8% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Penner 81.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 57.8%
Neutral zone
Penner 61.5%
Result
Dustin Penner favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Penner
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Penner
Koivu
Last 10: Penner 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Penner
4
3
Penner
Koivu
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
5
Penner
Koivu
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Penner
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (214)
51.9% (3,221)
-11.2%
Power Play
45.5% (112)
59.3% (437)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (60)
48.0% (764)
-11.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Penner is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Penner shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Penner
Koivu
Home
44.4% (207)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
38.3% (183)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Penner
Koivu
P1
36.1%
51.1%
P2
36.6%
52.6%
P3
53.6%
51.8%
OT
25.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
41.5%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 02:28 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Dustin Penner |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 2 | 16:33 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |