Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.8%). Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Strome 48.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 67.8%
Defensive zone
Cozens 69.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 52.1%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Cozens
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Cozens
Strome
Last 9: Cozens 4-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Cozens
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Cozens
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
48.3% (894)
+1.1%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
50.5% (182)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
66.7% (6)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Strome is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Cozens
Strome
Home
49.0% (600)
46.4% (513)
Away
47.6% (574)
51.0% (569)
By Period
Cozens
Strome
P1
46.5%
44.9%
P2
52.9%
50.8%
P3
45.2%
49.7%
OT
53.8%
77.8%
Final 5 min
45.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:35 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |