Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Luostarinen 41.1% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 61.0%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 76.6%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 53.9%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Cozens
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Cozens
Luostarinen
Last 9: Cozens 4-5 Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Luostarinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
2
Cozens
Luostarinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
2
Cozens
Luostarinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
41.1% (708)
+4.5%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
50.0% (10)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
29.8% (84)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Luostarinen is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Cozens
Luostarinen
Home
43.9% (410)
38.8% (402)
Away
47.2% (430)
41.3% (400)
By Period
Cozens
Luostarinen
P1
46.4%
40.7%
P2
41.6%
42.9%
P3
49.4%
36.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 15:43 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 15:35 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |