Scouting Report
Hunter McKown holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — McKown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs McKown 52.4% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 57.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 63.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 54.6%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Cozens
McKown
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cozens
McKown
Last 5: Cozens 2-3 McKown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
McKown
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKown
0
1
Cozens
McKown
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
McKown
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
McKown
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (3,987)
55.3% (76)
-6.5%
Power Play
50.4% (699)
54.5% (11)
-4.1%
On even strength, McKown has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKown shoots right. Cozens is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,439).
Cozens shoots right. McKown is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Cozens
McKown
Home
48.1% (2,633)
54.0% (50)
Away
48.6% (2,492)
56.8% (37)
By Period
Cozens
McKown
P1
49.0%
60.7%
P2
47.7%
59.3%
P3
48.8%
46.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
46.0%▼
50.0%
48.4%
McKown
46.0%▼
55.2%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2023 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Hunter McKown |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Hunter McKown |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Hunter McKown |