Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Benn 59.1% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 85.4%
Defensive zone
Benn 54.7%
Neutral zone
Benn 71.7%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Cozens
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cozens
Benn
Last 5: Cozens 3-2 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
2
Cozens
Benn
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Benn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
61.8% (584)
-12.4%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
56.7% (224)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
56.1% (57)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Cozens
Benn
Home
49.0% (600)
64.4% (433)
Away
47.6% (574)
55.8% (432)
By Period
Cozens
Benn
P1
46.5%
61.8%
P2
52.9%
59.6%
P3
45.2%
59.2%
OT
53.8%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.1%
62.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |