Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 47.4%). Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Couture 47.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 61.1%
Defensive zone
Couture 68.8%
Neutral zone
Couture 51.2%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Cozens
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Cozens
Couture
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
3
Cozens
Couture
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Couture
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
49.2% (1,083)
+0.2%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
56.7% (60)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
35.4% (206)
+4.1%
On power play, Couture has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Cozens
Couture
Home
49.0% (600)
49.6% (713)
Away
47.6% (574)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Cozens
Couture
P1
46.5%
47.2%
P2
52.9%
45.0%
P3
45.2%
50.0%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |