Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Jankowski 54.4% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 78.2%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 67.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 53.1%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Cozens
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cozens
Jankowski
Last 5: Cozens 2-3 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Cozens
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
58.6% (273)
-9.2%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
66.7% (3)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
43.3% (67)
-3.8%
On power play, Jankowski has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Cozens
Jankowski
Home
49.0% (600)
54.7% (128)
Away
47.6% (574)
56.3% (215)
By Period
Cozens
Jankowski
P1
46.5%
54.5%
P2
52.9%
56.5%
P3
45.2%
56.2%
Final 5 min
45.1%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:04 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |